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LEVI STRAUSS & CO (LEVI)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 delivered top-line growth and a significant profitability inflection: net revenues up 3% reported (9% organic), gross margin rose 330 bps to 62.1%, and adjusted EBIT margin expanded 400 bps to 13.4% . EPS from continuing operations was $0.35 and adjusted diluted EPS was $0.38, up 52% YoY .
- Against S&P Global consensus, EPS materially beat (Actual $0.38 vs $0.278*) while revenue was modestly below (Actual $1.527B vs $1.539B*); EBITDA beat meaningfully (Actual $253.1mm vs $202.5mm*) — driven by lower product costs, favorable mix, and higher full‑price sell-through . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Management maintained FY25 guidance (ex‑Dockers) and excluded recent tariffs; CFO flagged “minimal impact” to Q2 margins with inventory already secured for spring/summer; Q2 organic revenue guided +3.5% to +4.5% with adjusted EPS of $0.11–$0.13 .
- Strategic actions continue: Dockers reclassified to discontinued operations (sale process underway), DTC reached 52% of revenue, women’s continued double‑digit growth, and ratings upgrade to investment grade by Fitch enhances financial flexibility .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Margin expansion and earnings upside: gross margin 62.1% (+330 bps YoY) and adjusted EBIT margin 13.4% (+400 bps YoY); adjusted diluted EPS $0.38, +52% YoY .
- DTC and women’s momentum: DTC net revenues +9% reported (+12% organic), now 52% of revenue; Levi’s brand +8% organic; women’s growth remained double‑digit, with tops up 7% and broader head‑to‑toe lifestyle traction .
- CFO confidence and guidance maintained despite tariffs: “minimal impact” to Q2 margins and FY25 targets unchanged (ex‑Dockers), reflecting strong mix and secured inventory positioning .
What Went Wrong
- Europe reported net revenues −5% (though +3% organic), reflecting FX and the prior exit of footwear; wholesale shipments were impacted by DC transitions but expected to return to growth in Q2 .
- Dockers classified as discontinued operations with net loss in Q1 and breakeven EBIT margin on an allocated basis historically; sale process underway to simplify portfolio .
- Tariff uncertainty: management assembled a task force to mitigate via cost structure, vendor/customer negotiations, and surgical pricing; sourcing exposure is diversified but visibility remains fluid .
Financial Results
Revenue, Margins, EPS – prior quarters and current
Q1 2025 vs Estimates (S&P Global)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Note: Company EPS presented is adjusted diluted EPS.
Segment Performance (Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024)
KPIs and Channel Mix
Margin drivers in Q1: lower product costs and favorable channel/brand mix; adjusted SG&A rate improved to 48.7% .
Guidance Changes
Note: FY25 guidance excludes recent tariffs; Dockers reported in discontinued operations .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We exceeded revenue and profitability expectations in Q1… The Levi’s® brand is stronger than ever… our global footprint, strong margin structure, and agile supply chain position us to navigate the balance of the year and beyond.” — Michelle Gass, CEO .
- “Direct-to-consumer EBIT margins grew 500 basis points… Gross margin was a record at 62.1%… Looking forward, we are maintaining our 2025 top- and bottom-line guidance… and we anticipate minimal impact to our Q2 margin outlook.” — Harmit Singh, CFO .
- On tariffs: “We have a task force… identify levers to mitigate… cost structure, vendor/customer negotiations, surgical pricing… We source from over 28 countries.” — Michelle Gass . “Into the U.S.: China ~1%, Mexico ~5%, Vietnam mid‑ to high‑single digits.” — Harmit Singh .
Q&A Highlights
- Tariff mitigation and pricing power: Management will pursue structural cost actions, vendor/customer engagement, and surgical pricing; AURs already rising on premium product; ability to test price elasticity in DTC .
- Inventory and wholesale order visibility: Inventory +7% YoY with spring/summer secured; no change in wholesale orders; Europe wholesale to return to growth in Q2 with positive prebooks .
- DTC profitability drivers: Streamlined selling model, refined labor, improved systems; e‑commerce fully‑loaded profitability now low double digits .
- U.S. wholesale outlook: Expect prudent flat outcome in ’25; growth opportunities in women’s and tops; working to grow Levi’s at mass post‑Denizen exit .
- Cost structure flexibility: Fixed vs variable ~65–70% fixed historically; evaluating levers across cost initiatives, stakeholders, and pricing options .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 vs consensus: EPS $0.38 vs $0.278* (Beat); Revenue $1,526.8mm vs $1,539.1mm* (Miss); EBITDA $253.1mm vs $202.5mm* (Beat) . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Implications: Expect upward revisions to EBITDA and margin forecasts given structural mix (higher DTC/international/women’s) and cost actions; revenue miss modest and channel mix improving .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Margin engine is working: record gross margin and sustained adjusted EBIT margin at 13.4% with DTC EBIT margin +500 bps — favoring EPS resilience even if top-line faces FX/tariff noise .
- Mix shift continues: DTC 52% of sales, women’s/tops/lifestyle growth diversifies revenue and supports premium AURs and full-price sell-through .
- Europe set to improve: organic growth already positive; wholesale impacted by DC transition should resume growth in Q2 — a potential near-term catalyst .
- Tariffs: near-term impact to Q2 margins minimal with inventory secured; diversified sourcing and surgical pricing levers reduce downside risk .
- Portfolio simplification: Dockers exit (discontinued ops) and prior divestitures (Denizen/footwear) enhance structural economics and raise FY25 margin targets .
- Capital returns and balance sheet: dividend maintained ($0.13/share), buybacks continued, cash $574mm; Fitch investment grade upgrade (BBB−) adds financial flexibility .
- Trading lens: Focus on margin durability and DTC KPIs; watch tariff developments, Europe wholesale normalization, and women’s/tops momentum as key narrative drivers .
Appendix: Discontinued Operations and Non‑GAAP Reconciliations
- Dockers reclassified to discontinued operations; Q1 discontinued net loss $(5.2)mm; FY24 recast shown for continuing/discontinued ops .
- Adjusted metrics reconciliations provided for SG&A, EBIT/EBITDA, net income, EPS, FCF, and ROIC (see release tables) .